Claim: Donald Trump issued video statements about the devastation caused by the 2025 floods in Pakistan and accused India of causing the destruction by releasing water from its dams.
Fact: The videos are doctored, likely using AI. Trump has not blamed India for the Pakistan floods nor has he appealed for help for the flood affectees.
On 31 August 2025, Facebook user ‘Sardar Nouman Niaz’ posted (archive) a video showing US President Donald Trump talking about the devastation caused by floods during the 2025 monsoon season in Pakistan.
The following text is superimposed on the video, which also features the words “BREAKING NEWS”:
“پاکستان میں سیلاب آنا صرف بارش نہیں بلکہ انڈیا کی شرارت ہے جو ڈیمز سے پانی چھوڑا پاک بھارت بارے جو سچ میں جانتا ہوں کوئی اور نہیں جانتا۔ صدر ٹرمپ
[The floods in Pakistan are not just rain but a mischief of India, which released water from its dams. No one knows the truth about Pakistan and India like I do. President Trump]”
The accompanying caption is also similar to the superimposed text.
In the video, Trump can be heard saying:
“Flood news Pakistan. Let me tell you the truth and nobody tells the truth like I do. The horrible floods in Pakistan, the destruction, the tragedy. It’s not just climate, it’s not just rain; it’s India. Believe me, India opened their dams in Kashmir … very unfair … very dangerous. They opened the gates and millions of tonnes of water came rushing into Pakistan through Ravi, through Chenab, through Sutlej. Everybody knows it, but nobody says it… I’m saying it. Pakistan is suffering, villages underwater, families displaced, children crying, innocent people losing homes, losing crops, [and] losing everything. And why? Because of reckless water releases by India. This is not cooperation, this is not friendship, this is sabotage, this is a crime against humanity. And I will say very clearly: the world must hold India accountable. Nobody should ever weaponise water ever. But Pakistan, you are strong, you are resilient, you will rise again… I stand with you and I call on people all over the world… If you wanna help, if you wanna stand with Pakistan in this difficult time, [then] comment below. Help Pakistan and spread this message. Let’s turn awareness into action. Together, we will bring relief, we will bring justice, and we will make Pakistan stronger than ever before. Believe me.”
Monsoon causes destruction in Pakistan
Pakistan’s monsoon season began in June 2025, wreaking havoc in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Punjab, and Sindh provinces. This, coupled with the release of water from Indian dams, contributed to widespread flooding due to overflowing rivers, including Sutlej, Chenab, and Ravi.
Swollen rivers and floodwater submerged the villages, agricultural land, and residential areas situated along the edge of the rivers in Punjab before heading to Sindh.
The overall death toll from flash floods in Pakistan was over 1,000 as of 19 September, according to data (archive) compiled by the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), which revealed that more than 500 of these fatalities were in KP.
Additionally, upwards of 1,000 people have been injured, 12,500 houses destroyed, and 6,500 livestock have perished since 6 June, according to the NDMA.
India alerts Pakistan
Interestingly, Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry said on 25 August that India had informed it was releasing water from its swollen dams and rivers on “humanitarian grounds” to evacuate people ahead of possible flooding. New Delhi did not make any official confirmation but The Associated Press (AP) cited a government official who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
The Foreign Office said India’s alert came “through diplomatic channels”, the state-run Radio Pakistan reported.
In addition, Arab News reported that the Indian High Commission in Pakistan sent a letter to the Foreign Ministry containing relevant flood data, following which the Punjab Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) “issued a flood alert”.
Later, Foreign Office spokesperson Shafqat Ali Khan said the India alert was “not as detailed as it was in the past” and that “the established channel of the Indus water commissioner has not been used”.
New Delhi temporarily put the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) on hold while accusing Pakistan of orchestrating the April 2025 terrorist attack in Pahalgam in Indian-administered Kashmir, charges denied by Islamabad.
Less than a month later, the two nations fought a four-day war in May 2025. The conflict ended with a ceasefire; while Pakistan and the US say this ceasefire was brokered by Trump, India refutes the claim.
Fact or Fiction?
Soch Fact Check observed that the video contains multiple tell-tale signs of content generated using artificial intelligence (AI). For example, the bottom half of Trump’s face — specifically the lower part of his cheeks and the area around his lips — is slightly blurry, moves a little out of sync, and does not match the expressions in his eyes. Moreover, the president’s teeth keep appearing and disappearing.
Trump’s voice sounds like it was recorded using a clip-on mic rather than a boom mic, which reporters often use during press conferences.
Reverse-searching keyframes from the viral video led to the TikTok account @gvn.news, which has posted two more clips (archived here and here, respectively) of Trump talking about the floods in Pakistan apart from the primary one (archive) we’re investigating. These two videos also exhibited similar inconsistencies.
Trump’s comments in the second video are as follows:
“Flood update Pakistan. What’s happening right now in Pakistan… It’s terrible, it’s unbelievable, some of the worst flooding we’ve seen in decades. People are losing their homes, their farms, their lives. It’s a disaster, a big disaster. The rivers Ravi, Sutlej, Chenab, they’ve risen higher than anyone can remember. Over a million people evacuated roads, roads under water, homes destroyed, families forced into relief camps. And Lahore? Yes, even Lahore is being hit hard. The water is coming in and it’s not stopping. But listen! The danger isn’t over. The floodwaters are moving downstream. Sindh, you are next! Authorities are warning Guddu, Sukkur: the Indus River is rising fast. Districts like Thatta, Badin, Dadu, Hyderabad, Jamshoro… they must prepare right now, embankments need to be reinforced. Highways, farms, small towns… All at risk! We have about one, maybe two, weeks before the big flood wave reaches central Sindh. This is life and death. And here’s the deal: Pakistan can recover but only if we act fast. We need coordination, we need clean water, medicine, shelter. Rescue teams are working day and night but they need support. So if you can help, if you can give, do it now: write “I am.” in the comments, share relief centre locations, donate, volunteer, spread the word because together Pakistan will rise again.”
In the third video, the US president can be heard saying the following:
“India! Stop! Enough is enough! Don’t release more water. Pakistan is drowning and, today, I stand before you with my third message on this terrible flood crisis. Yes, this is my third appeal because the situation is not improving, it’s getting worse. Entire villages in Punjab are underwater, more than 1.1 million people displaced, 0.16 villages destroyed. I’ve … seen the reports. Lahore itself — the great historic city — water has entered Shafiqabad, Farahabad, Shahdara. Families crying as their homes disappear, children stranded on rooftops, farmers have lost their crops, their animals, their entire life savings. And what’s next? The floodwaters are moving fast towards Sindhudurg, Vadu, Dadu, Thatta, Badin… They are all at risk of going under. This is not just rain… this is a humanitarian disaster. Pakistan needs unity.”
A reverse-image search also allowed us to trace the original footage that was manipulated to create the doctored videos.
It is, in fact, from an event celebrating Elon Musk, a tech billionaire who was once a Trump advisor and leader of the “Department of Government Efficiency”, on 30 May 2025. We confirmed it by corroborating Trump’s attire and the background.
Bloomberg posted a YouTube short on 2 June 2025, with the original story in its description from 30 May 2025, when the event took place.
CNBC TV also posted a YouTube short on 31 May and livestreamed the event the same day. Forbes Breaking News and Fox News also shared footage.
We were able to locate a White House livestream from the same day here, where Musk can be seen standing on Trump’s right side.
The US president only spoke about the deadly May conflict between Pakistan and India, as well as the ceasefire, but did not talk about the floods. Moreover, Soch Fact Check did not come across any reports that Trump pointed fingers at anyone during the speech.
Audio engineer’s analysis
Soch Fact Check also sought a comment from Shaur Azher, a lecturer who teaches sound design and sound recording at the University of Karachi and the Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology (SZABIST). He also works as an audio engineer at our sister organisation, Soch Videos, and specialises in mixing and mastering audio.
According to Azher, multiple characteristics of the content in question “strongly suggest that the audio has undergone significant synthetic processing or AI-based manipulation rather than being a genuine, unaltered recording”.
To support his conclusion, he provided the following observations:
- Frequency characteristics: The recording exhibits synthetic-sounding frequencies with unusually constant energy between 20 and 2,000 Hertz (Hz). The high-frequency content rolls off sharply around 14 kHz, which is atypical for a natural recording of this type. This is shown in the visual below.
- Voice tonality: In this recording, Trump’s vocal pitch remains unusually constant, producing a monotone effect, as compared to his authentic speech patterns that show noticeable pitch variation — especially during Q&A sessions, where his tone frequently rises and drops.
- Lip-synchronisation: Visual inspection indicates noticeable lip-sync discrepancies between Trump’s mouth movements and the corresponding audio track.
- Dynamic range and compression: The file appears to be heavily compressed, resulting in reduced dynamic range and an unnatural overall sound.
Deepfake detectors
Soch Fact Check tested the video in multiple deepfake detection tools available online; these include Hiya Deepfake Voice Detector, Hive Moderation, and DeepFake-O-Meter.
According to Hiya Deepfake Voice Detector, the first video — which picked up the phrase “just climate it’s not just rain it’s India” — yielded a result of 6 out of 100. The second and third clips, which identified the words “ravi sutlej chenab they’ve risen” and the sentence “india stop enough is enough,” got a score of 5 and 37 out of 100, respectively.
The detector wrote that this means the first and third videos are “likely a deepfake”, but its models’ results were “uncertain” for the third clip.
Hive Moderation said there was a 96.7%, 92%, and 70.5% likelihood that the videos were fake, respectively.
We used five available detectors in the DeepFake-O-Meter, developed by the University at Buffalo’s Media Forensics Lab (UB MDFL); these were CFM, DSP-FWA, FTCN, LIPINC, and WAV2LIP-STA. Their results are tabularised below:
Soch Fact Check also tested the three videos in the Global Online Deepfake Detection System (GODDS), a tool developed by Northwestern University’s Security & AI Lab (NSAIL). It uses a combination of various models along with human analysis to provide a holistic summary of the results.
The GODDS analysts said they “believe this video is likely generated via artificial intelligence”.
GODDS analysis explained
For the first — and primary — video, GODDS used 15 deepfake detection algorithms for the visual content and 7 for the audio component. Two trained analysts also examined the clip.
All predictive models for the visual and audio content said the video “is likely to be fake”:
- The video is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 11 of the 15 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to the 4 other predictive models
- The audio is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 6 of the 7 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to the remaining predictive model
Trump’s “voice seems to lack natural tonal and cadence variations characteristic of human voices”, according to the human analysis. It also provides timestamps of instances where his front teeth appear to be chipped or have a small gap, where he is missing several bottom teeth, and where his teeth appear to overlay onto the upper lip.
It noted that after the first 30 seconds, the video switches from Trump’s face “to visual displays of the flooding”, which possibly suggests “some post-production editing to piece the audio and visual clips together”. It added, “Further, the second portion of the video uses compiled speaking clips with different textual formatting. These appear to be from a different news source, potentially further indicating some media manipulation.”
For the second video, GODDS used 22 deepfake detection algorithms for the visual content and 7 for the audio component. Two trained analysts examined this clip as well.
All predictive models for the visual and audio content said the video “is likely to be fake”:
- The video is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 11 of the 22 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to the remaining 11 predictive models
- The audio is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 5 of the 7 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to other 2 predictive models
The human analysis included the same observations about lacking natural tonal and cadence variations. It also provided various instances where Trump is apparently missing several bottom teeth and two of his front teeth “appear to have a small gap”.
It added that 30 seconds into the clip, the video switches to visual displays of the flooding, which “could suggest some post-production editing to piece the audio and visual clips together”.
“Further, the second portion of the video uses compiled interview clips with different textual formatting. These appear to be from different news sources, potentially further indicating some media manipulation,” the analysis said.
For the third video, GODDS used 15 deepfake detection algorithms for the visual content and seven for the audio component. The clip was also examined by two trained analysts.
All predictive models for the visual and audio content said the video “is likely to be fake”:
- The video is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 5 of the 15 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to the remaining 10 predictive models
- The audio is likely to be fake with a probability above 0.5, according to 5 of the 7 predictive models; it is likely to be fake with a probability below 0.5, according to other 2 predictive models
In addition to the same observations about lacking natural tonal and cadence variations in this clip as well, the human analysis provided timestamps of instances where Trump is apparently missing a bottom tooth and his teeth appear to overlay onto the upper lip.
As in the other two videos, after 30 seconds, the visuals switch from the US president to displays of the flooding. “This could suggest some post-production editing to piece the audio and visual clips together,” it added.
Therefore, Soch Fact Check confirms that all three videos in question are doctored, likely using AI tools.
Virality
The post by Facebook user ‘Sardar Nouman Niaz’ has been viewed over 97,000 times so far.
Soch Fact Check found the claim circulating here, here, here, here, and here on Facebook, here on Instagram, and here, here, and here on X (formerly Twitter).
It was also shared on TikTok.
Conclusion: The videos are doctored, likely using AI. Donald Trump has not blamed India for the Pakistan floods nor has he appealed for help for the flood affectees.
Background image in cover photo: DonaldTrump
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